We have two NBA prop bets worth your consideration on this Saturday night in basketball.
Kyle Lowry over 4.5 rebounds
The Timberwolves vs. Heat should be a great NBA contest Saturday night at 8 p.m. ET, as Miami is rolling and Minnesota continues to surprise in the West.
While the Wolves have had a great season, particularly compared to the last decade for the franchise, they do have one vulnerability that sticks out for Miami’s benefit: rebounding. The Timberwolves are allowing the eighth-most rebounds per game, generous to both defensive and offensive boards.
We turn to a Miami guard, a position that has had success rebounding against Minnesota lately.
Lowry has picked up the rebounding of late, averaging 5.5 in his last 10 games. His steady dose of minutes (35.4 average) and role as a grinder have helped put him in a position get boards.
Minnesota has been letting point guards grab rebounds on a pretty consistent basis of late. Cole Anthony had six rebounds on Friday night. Theo Maledon had seven on Wednesday. Brandon Williams had eight on Monday.
It’s been a week of point guards grabbing boards against this Timberwolves team, and I like the idea of continuing to attack that angle.
Lowry had 6 boards when these teams last met in November and has gone over this 4.5 mark in three of his last six games.
Best bet: Lowry over 4.5 rebounds (-140 FanDuel)
Klay Thompson 4+ threes (+156 on FanDuel)
We turn to an alternate total for better odds, betting on Klay Thompson to reach four total three-pointers made, instead of betting his over 2.5 at -166.
On Saturday night, Thompson’s Warriors are playing the Milwaukee Bucks, who are allowing the most three-pointers per game.
I find this to be a tremendous value play given the opponent. Thompson has failed to record more than two three-pointers in four straight games, hitting more than four threes in just two out of his last 10 games.
While that’s reason for concern, the attempts and volume are there, and given the Bucks’s proclivity for letting up the deep ball, I think Thompson can get to this total.
Klay is averaging 7.8 attempts per game in his past 10, chucking up more than eight deep-ball attempts in 70% of his last 10 games.
He just needs that ball to go in, and as long as he continues firing, the makes will come. I like them to be tonight.
Best Bet: Klay Thompson 4+ threes (+156 FD)
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