Top jockey Libby Hopwood reveals her must-know tips for Melbourne Cup punters Flemington
A guide to the 2022 $3million Melbourne Cup, which is run over 3200m at the famous Flemington Racecourse.
Order of entry – horse – barrier – weight – odds – jockey
1: Gold Trip (14) – 57.5kg – $15 – Mark Zahra
Finished second in the Caulfield Cup, loves wet ground. In the mix but total unknown at this distance.
2: Duais (10) – 55.5kg – $26 – Hugh Bowman
Is in a poor patch of form this spring. Can she recapture the heights of her Autumn campaign, winning Australian Cup and Tancred Stakes? Not sure.
3: Knights Order (23) – 55.5kg – $17 – Tim Clark
Horror show in last year’s Melbourne Cup and doesn’t produce his best at this track. Enjoys sting out of the ground, and is in better form this time around.
4: Montefilia (11) – 55.5kg – $11 – Jason Collett
Has been building nicely for this race, and produced an eye-catching run in the Caulfield Cup. Can win.
Montefilia, pictured winning the Ranvet Stakes in March, has been in good form ahead of the Melbourne Cup
5: Numerian (7) – 55.5kg – $61 – Tommy Berry
From the gun Annabel Neasham stable, but don’t think the gelding will make the 3200m trip here. Pass.
6: Without a Fight (18) – 55.5kg – $11 – William Buick
Tough stayer who won’t be happy with the barrier draw. Always in it and will grind out the distance but just needs to find a run. In it.
7: Camorra (17) – 55kg – $51 – Ben Melham
Was absolutely shocking last start in a Group 1 over 2816m in Ireland. Would want the track bone dry, and it won’t be. No thanks.
8: Deauville Legend (9) – 55kg – $3.40 – Kerrin McEvoy
The lightly-raced gelding is absolutely flying and is at almost unbackable odds now. McEvoy has won this race three times and setting up for his fourth.
9: Stockman (2) – 54kg – $31 – Sam Clipperton
Can sneak into a place provided he doesn’t get shuffled back early. Has flippers, which will help, but looks to be outclassed.
10: Vow and Declare (4) – 54kg – $26 – Blake Shinn
The 2019 winner is another few years older but after a flat spot of form is peaking really nicely for this.
11: Young Werther (20) – 54kg – $34 – Damian Lane
Keeps finding ways to lose despite obvious class. Might sneak into the top five but can’t imagine him winning.
Deauville Legend has been heavily-backed to win Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup
12: Hoo Ya Mal (15) – 53.5kg – $15 – Craig Williams
Won’t appreciate the wet conditions and was absolutely smashed last start in England. Can win, but not confident.
13: Serpentine (22) – 53.5kg – $71 – John Allen
Lloyd Williams’ only runner in the race, the gelding might look for the lead – but he won’t be first past the post. No chance.
14: Daqiansweet Junior (13) – 53kg – $51 – Daniel Moor
Has almost nothing going for him here, aside from the weight. Wouldn’t be investing.
15: Grand Promenade (1) – 53kg – $81 – Harry Coffey
Was poor in last year’s Cup and hasn’t gotten any better since. Would be surprised if he gets anywhere near them.
16: Arapaho (19) – 52.5kg – $81 – Rachel King
Huge odds, but don’t mind the generous price. There’s a surprise every year and just imagining he will relish the soft ground. Place?
17: Emissary (3) – 51.5kg – $34 – Pat Maloney
Earned his entry with a surprise Geelong Cup win, and drops 4.5kg from that race. Wouldn’t shock.
19: Smokin’ Romans (16) – 51.5kg – $16 – Jamie Kah
Absolutely flying this Spring and gets the services of one of the country’s top jockeys. Will be in the finish at a nice price.
Champion jockey Jamie Kah will be piloting Smokin’ Romans, and both horse and rider have been in sizzling form
20: Tralee Rose (21) – 51.5kg – $71 – Dean Yendall
9th in last year’s Cup, but struggled with injuries since. Is in better form than that run and has been pleasing to the eye. Wouldn’t shock.
22: High Emocean (8) – 50kg – $51 – Teo Nugent
Cracking ride won her the Bendigo Cup, but she looks to be outclassed in this field. Place.
23: Interpretation (6) – 50kg – $41 – Craig Newitt
Plenty of hype when he arrived in Australia, but has disappointed thus far. Nice weight and will handle the distance, but was ordinary last start.
24: Realm of Flowers (5) – 50kg – $10 – Damian Thornton
Lightly-raced of late, and is proven at this track and distance. At this weight, the gritty stayer will absolutely be in this.
All odds from TAB.com.au and correct as of 12pm, October 31.
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