India and Pakistan set to resume arguably the biggest rivalry in cricket

Big picture: Face-to-face in ODIs after four years

If someone tells you there are bigger rivalries than India vs Pakistan at the 2023 Asia Cup, do not trust them.

Of late, the Afghanistan vs Pakistan and Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh games might have been spicier on the field, and nastier off it, but the history – both cricketing and otherwise – and the quality of the players involved make India vs Pakistan arguably the biggest rivalry in world cricket. That they rarely face each other these days makes every match a highly anticipated one.

And that is also one of the reasons why it’s not easy to say who the favourites are for Saturday’s game in Pallekele.

The Asia Cup was supposed to mark the return of Shreyas Iyer and KL Rahul. While Iyer has been declared fit, Rahul is yet to attain full fitness, and that gives Ishan Kishan another opportunity. Kishan scored three successive half-centuries in the West Indies, but they all came at the top of the order. With Rohit back now, Kishan may have to give up the opening slot.

Bumrah, another key player for India, made a comeback during the Ireland T20Is. Before that series, Bumrah had said that he was prepared to bowl ten overs. Saturday’s game, weather permitting as there is a rain threat, will test Bumrah’s claim.

For Pakistan, their captain Babar Azam is in red-hot form, having scored a superlative 151 against Nepal in the tournament opener, but Fakhar’s lean run could be a concern. Since his three successive hundreds – including an unbeaten 180 – against New Zealand, Fakhar has managed only 139 in the next seven innings. But both Pakistan and India know how destructive he can be. Moreover, Pakistan have the cushion of a long batting line-up, something that India lack.

Form guide

India WLWLL (last five ODIs, most recent first)
Pakistan WWWWL

In the spotlight: Shreyas Iyer and Shaheen Shah Afridi

In the last few months, many, including Rohit, have said that India have a No. 4 problem. But with Shreyas Iyer returning, that is no longer true. In fact, in Iyer, India have one of the best No. 4s in world cricket. Since the end of the 2019 World Cup, Iyer has scored 805 runs at No. 4, at an average of 47.35 and a strike rate of 94.37. From the ten teams that will be participating at the 2023 ODI World Cup, no No. 4 has a better average, or more hundreds than Iyer’s two. Last year, he also worked on his weakness against the short ball. India will just hope he makes a trouble-free return.

Shaheen Shah Afridi running in with a brand-new white ball is one of the best sights in modern-day cricket, but only if you are not the one facing him. Despite not looking his best against Nepal, he picked up two wickets in his first over. He even went off the field briefly after his five-over spell, but the Pakistan team management was quick to clarify it was only to do with Multan’s heat. So far, Shaheen has played only three international matches against India; twice he was wicketless but on the third occasion, at the 2021 T20 World Cup, he bowled a match-winning spell of 3 for 31. How he performs on Saturday could define this match as well.

Team news: What will India’s pace attack look like?

India need to make some tough calls. If they pick Shardul Thakur to lengthen their batting line-up, it would leave just two spots for frontline seamers (assuming Kuldeep Yadav is a certainty). In that case, Bumrah and Mohammed Siraj are likely to get the nod ahead of Mohammed Shami and Prasidh Krishna.

India (probable): 1 Rohit Sharma (capt), 2 Shubman Gill, 3 Virat Kohli, 4 Shreyas Iyer, 5 Ishan Kishan (wk), 6 Hardik Pandya, 7 Ravindra Jadeja, 8 Shardul Thakur/Mohammed Shami, 9 Kuldeep Yadav, 10 Mohammed Siraj, 11 Jasprit Bumrah

Pakistan announced an unchanged XI on Friday evening.

Pakistan: 1 Fakhar Zaman, 2 Imam-ul-Haq, 3 Babar Azam (capt), 4 Mohammad Rizwan (wk), 5 Agha Salman, 6 Iftikhar Ahmed, 7 Shadab Khan, 8 Mohammad Nawaz, 9 Shaheen Shah Afridi, 10 Naseem Shah, 11 Haris Rauf

Pitch and conditions: Rain threatens delayed start

The match will be played on a fresh pitch but if it behaves anything like the Sri Lanka-Bangladesh one, with help for both seamers and spinners, good luck to the batters. There’s a forecast of rain, though, from early morning till mid-afternoon, which could delay the start.

Stats and trivia: Kohli, Babar on the cusp of milestones

Quotes

“They are a very good team, last few years they’ve done really well, whether it’s at the T20 World Cup or in the 50-over format. No team becomes No. 1 just like that. Pakistan has worked hard a lot to get there, they look like a unit. It will be a good challenge to play against them.”
Rohit Sharma on Pakistan

“Let’s leave that debate [Babar vs Kohli] to people. Everybody has their point of view, and I don’t want to comment on it. He is elder to me and I have been taught to respect elders no matter from which country they are. And I have learnt a lot from him. In 2019, during the World Cup, I spoke to him and it helped me a lot.”
Babar Azam on his relation with Virat Kohli

Hemant Brar is a sub-editor at ESPNcricinfo

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