With footy season at our doorstep, the competition to be crowned the champion of the office tipping comp is ready to heat up.
With so many games and variables to consider, it can be a daunting task to give yourself the best chance of winning – whether it is the NRL, AFL or Super Rugby competition.
But fear not, Daily Mail Australia has compiled a list of five tried-and-tested strategies to help you come out on top.
From the never-changing your tip mantra to the core and satellite method, these strategies can help you make more informed decisions and avoid the pitfalls that come with emotional or reactive tipping.
Following your gut and going against the herd can also pay dividends, as can playing the long game and staying disciplined.
So if you want to impress your colleagues with your footy knowledge and take home the coveted title of the office tipping champion, be sure to implement these strategies and give yourself the best chance of success.
1. Never change your tip
Making accurate footy tips is always a challenge, and with so many variables to consider, it’s easy to get caught up in the hype and change your mind at the last minute. Don’t do it, never, ever, no matter what.
When you make a tip, you do so with the information you have available at that time. Changing your tip based on late-breaking news or rumours can often be a knee-jerk reaction that leads to inaccurate predictions.
It’s never over until it is over. Ask Gold Coast Sun Noah Anderson who kicked the winning goal against the Tigers last year after his side was behind by 40 points in the third quarter
The NSW Waratahs were rank, 15-1 outsiders to beat the Crusaders in 2022. But they did it. Imagine how you would feel if you changed THAT tip at the last minute?
Furthermore, changing your tip can also create doubt and second-guessing, which can cloud your judgement and make it difficult to make a confident, informed decision with all of your other selections as well.
It’s also worth remembering that sometimes, the underdogs can pull off a surprise upset, and if you stick to your original tip, you may be rewarded for your bravery.
2. Follow your gut, not the herd
When it comes to footy tipping, following your gut can sometimes be the difference between winning and losing. It’s all too easy to get swept up in the hype of popular opinion and tip the favourite every week, but where’s the fun in that?
The real excitement and challenge of footy tipping comes from taking a risk and tipping an underdog, against the odds.
The beauty of following your gut is that it’s a reflection of your personal knowledge, experience, and intuition. It’s a unique perspective that only you possess and can use to your advantage.
Almost nobody would have predicted that the Cowboys would go deep in the NRL finals in 2022. Those that had the guts to back them would have reaped rewards in their tipping
Don’t be afraid to go against the grain and back your gut feeling. After all, if you’re right, you’ll be hailed as a genius.
Going against the herd also means you won’t be swayed by popular opinion or the hype surrounding a particular team or player. It’s important to trust your own judgment and analysis of the match-up, rather than blindly following the crowd.
Of course, taking risks doesn’t always pay off, and there’s always the chance that your tip will be wrong. But that’s part of the fun and challenge of footy tipping.
3. Don’t make emotional decisions
One common pitfall that many footy tipsters fall into is allowing their emotions to dictate their decisions.
This can manifest in a few different ways – for example, always tipping their team to win, regardless of the odds, or conversely, tipping against their team as a form of reverse psychology.
We get it. Backing Collingwood can make your guts churn if you are not a Magpies fan. But when they are winning more than they are losing, you have to take the correct tips on offer
Heaps of punters and pundits alike said Geelong’s list was too old to win the flag in 2022. Basing tips on that incorrect assumption would wreck your footy tipping
While these decisions might be emotionally satisfying in the moment, they aren’t always the best strategy for winning the comp.
This is where footy tipping can get tricky, as this tip goes against the messaging of following your gut. It can be a balancing act, but recognising the difference between a strong hunch and an emotional connection to a tip can take you a long way in your office comp.
4. Play the long game
When it comes to footy tipping, it’s important to play the long game and keep your eye on the prize.
While it can be tempting to get caught up in the excitement of early rounds, it’s crucial not to get too cocky too soon. Overconfidence is a trap that many tipsters fall into, and it often leads to bad decisions and disappointing results.
Instead, it’s important to maintain a steady and consistent approach throughout the season.
Manly were a prime example of why you need to stay sharp every week in footy tipping. They appeared to be finals certainties until crashing out with seven straight losses
Aim for a top spot on the ladder at the end of the season, rather than trying to make a splash in the early rounds. This will give you a better chance of success in the long run, and it will also ensure that you have bragging rights for the whole year.
Of course, playing the long game doesn’t mean that you should ignore the importance of each individual round. Every match counts, and it’s important to approach each one with a focused and strategic mindset.
But by keeping your eye on the bigger picture and maintaining a steady approach, you’ll be giving yourself the best chance of success in the footy tipping comp.
5. The core and satellite method
If you’re looking for a more strategic approach to your footy tipping, the core and satellite method is worth considering. It’s a proven system that has helped many punters succeed.
Here’s how it works: first, you assess the betting odds for each match and pick all the favourites, except for the closest match of the round. For that game, you choose the outsider, so that you’re not just aligning yourself with the crowd that’s tipping all the favourites. You could also vary this method by selecting two outsiders instead of one.
Back short-priced favourites like Penrith week-in, week-out is usually going to get the job done. They only lost twice in 2022 and in one of those losses they were outsiders
Backing the Melbourne Demons in recent seasons would have delivered plenty of correct tips. When a club is a short-priced favourite, it is usually for a reason
The benefit of using this method is that it helps you to stay disciplined while others may be swayed by emotional or reactive decisions. It’s easy to get caught up in individual biases and overconfidence, but by relying on the market’s odds and sticking to a consistent strategy, you’re more likely to come out on top.
While many people believe they’re experts when it comes to sports tipping, the reality is that individual bias can often cloud judgement. By using a system like the core and satellite method, you’re letting the market do the thinking for you, which can often be a smart move.
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