Vikings vs. Packers prediction and odds for Week 17 (Vegas spot on making Green Bay favorites)

The Green Bay Packers got the hard part out of the way in Week 16; upsetting the Miami Dolphins in South Florida and now return home for two divisional matchups with a shot to sneak into the postseason.

They’ll welcome in the Minnesota Vikings who throttled them by a 23-7 score at the start of the season in Minneapolis. The Vikings were favorites in that Week 1 matchup, but despite the better record of 12-3 to Green Bay’s 7-8, it’s the Packers who are clear favorites this time around.

Here’s how Vegas projects this week’s matchup from Lambeau Field:

Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread and Total

Vikings vs. Packers Betting Trends

• Minnesota is 11-0 straight up (SU) as a betting favorite this season, and 14-0 in their last 14 games as a favorite. They’re also 11-0 in one possession games in 2022. However, as an underdog, the Vikings are just 1-3-0 against the spread (ATS) with a ATS +/- of -12.0, and margin of victory of -15.5.
• Aaron Rodgers over the course of his career is 15-12-0 ATS vs. the Vikings, but 9-3-0 ATS vs. Minnesota at Lambeau Field, 8-3-0 ATS as a home favorite, and 6-3-0 ATS as a favorite of 3-points or more. He’s also looking to win five consecutive games for the 11th time in his career

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction and Pick

There’s something to be said for how the Vikings continue to win close games. When you’re 11-0 in single possession matchups over the course of the season, it’s ok to acknowledge good coaching and timely plays as an element for success.

It’s also ok to recognize that there’s an element of luck as well, and the Vikings are due for some serious regression.